Financial planning is often best kept simple. I regularly meet doctors, plumbers and
lawyers who tell me they actively trade stocks for their own account. Often I
hear they follow Jim Cramer's recommendations on CNBC. So how does Cramer
actually do? In a May 2016 paper by Hartley & Olson of the Wharton School,
Cramer trailed the S&P 500 over the prior 15 years. So if the doctor had
bought and held an S&P 500 index fund rather than trading he would have
been richer. And if he used all that time researching stocks to instead see
more patients he would have been far richer! But many people find it fun to
listen to Cramer (and others) to try to beat the market, so go have your fun.
But if history is a guide, don't be shocked if the cost of that fun is
underperformance vs. a buy-and-hold index fund strategy, especially after the
tax bill from all that active trading.
Larry Pike, CFA
Impressive! I really like your blog.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the post.
Financial Advisors