Where does your financial adviser think the market will be at year
end? Here’s the answer you should be looking for: “I don’t know.” Senior market strategists from major Wall
Street banks disagree with each other every day on the near-term direction of
the stock market. And market prices
reflect an equilibrium created by all those buyers and sellers. Since the value of the stock market already reflects
the views of all the bears and bulls, it really doesn’t matter if your adviser
thinks the market is going up or down because he or she doesn’t know any better
than all the other chief market strategists out there. In fact, if your adviser is guessing on the
direction of the market, then he or she may not be advising on an appropriate
long-term investment plan, instead shooting for gains from market timing (which
most research says is a losing strategy.)
So what’s a better answer from your adviser? He or she should advise you
to stay invested in a portfolio suitable for your profile, add to it regularly
and ignore all the so-called experts who as a group have a questionable ability
to predict the short-term direction of the market.
Larry Pike, CFA
Client Priority Financial Advisors LLCwww.clientpriority.com
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