Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Being Samrt with $$ - Investment Managers are Overconfident


 

Managers on the financial channels speak with such conviction about their expectations for future investment performance. They very convincingly predict which stocks will do best and which ones will lag. It would be easy to turn your money over to these advisers with hopes of getting these superior returns and they are hoping you will do just that so that they can charge you a high fee.  One very confident investment manager on CNBC discusses the buys and sells in the ETF he manages.  With all his confidence, you might expect that his fund would do well in exchange for the fee you pay him but in reality, his fund has trailed a low-cost, unmanaged S&P 500 Index ETF over the last 1-year and 3-year periods.  Over the last 3 years, owning his fund would have cost you over 1.5% per year in returns (per Morningstar).  And if that doesn’t sound like a lot, consider that a $500,000 starting portfolio might grow by $140,000 less over 10 years with that performance difference. The moral of this story is to take investment advice from the pros with a grain of salt no matter how confident they seem and stick with a low-cost portfolio allocated in an appropriate investment mix for your needs.  (Past performance may not be an indicator of what to expect in the future and your individual circumstances should be considered in any investment choice.)

Larry Pike, CFA

Client Priority Financial Advisors LLC
www.clientpriority.com

Hourly, Fee-Only Financial Planning and Advice.

No Commissions.  No automatic, annual fees.

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